EventTracker

Explore & account

Checking sign-in status…

EventTracker
LIVE FEED
EVENT POLY Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET EVENT KALSHI Grzegorz Jurowicz vs Tkocz Marek EVENT MANIFOLD When will OpenAI release GPT-7? αΉ€962 EVENT SX Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets WHALE POLY $2,512 BUY Will Luiz InΓ‘cio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? @ 57% EVENT LIMITLESS ETH Up or Down - 5 Min EVENT MYRIAD Will Base TGE in 2026? $0 JACKPOT POLY GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? EVENT PREDICTIT Which office will AOC announce a run for by the end of 2027? $109 WHALE POLY $6,232 BUY Will Luiz InΓ‘cio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? @ 43% EVENT OPINION Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants EVENT PROPHETX Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears EVENT POLY XRP Up or Down - September 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET EVENT KALSHI Zbigniew Nocun vs Miroslaw Lewczuk WHALE LIMITLESS $303 UP Solana Up or Down Hourly @ 50% EVENT MANIFOLD Will I find a wife by the end of 2027? αΉ€3,762 EVENT SX Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder JACKPOT POLY Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch? EVENT LIMITLESS BTC Up or Down - 5 Min WHALE POLY $2,980 SELL Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? @ 96% EVENT MYRIAD ETH flipped on CMC Historicals in 2026? $100 EVENT PREDICTIT Will the House pass any articles of impeachment by the end of 2026? EVENT OPINION What price will Bitcoin hit Week of September 21 2026? $3,677 EVENT PROPHETX Los Angeles Rams @ Denver Broncos WHALE LIMITLESS $438 UP Solana Up or Down Hourly @ 51% EVENT POLY ZCash Up or Down - September 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET EVENT KALSHI CD Guadalajara vs Queretaro FC: Correct Score JACKPOT POLY Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch? EVENT MANIFOLD Will AI revenues be greater than $500 billion by end of 2027? αΉ€14,203 WHALE LIMITLESS $341 UP Solana Up or Down Hourly @ 53% EVENT SX L.A. Lakers vs Philadelphia 76ers EVENT LIMITLESS ETH Up or Down - 15 Min EVENT MYRIAD GOLD Price: Pump to $4.900 or Dump to $3.700? $28 EVENT PREDICTIT How many vetoes will Trump issue in 2026? WHALE SX $600 Katie Volynets -4.5 Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell @ 50% EVENT OPINION What price will Micron (MU) hit Week of September 21 2026? EVENT PROPHETX Baltimore Ravens @ Dallas Cowboys JACKPOT POLY GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? EVENT POLY Solana Up or Down - September 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET WHALE OUTCOME_XYZ $510 BUY template:sportsContestWinner @ 67% EVENT KALSHI Howard vs Rutgers: 1st Half Total EVENT MANIFOLD Janssen Samuel Halim's SAT score tomorrow αΉ€395 EVENT SX Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat EVENT LIMITLESS BNB Up or Down Hourly WHALE SX $1,000 Under 167.5 Washington Mystics W vs Chicago Sky W @ 47% EVENT MYRIAD Will George Russell win the F1 Drivers Championship 2026? $14 EVENT PREDICTIT Will Congress override a veto in 2026? $0 JACKPOT POLY Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch? EVENT OPINION What price will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of September 21 2026? WHALE SX $2,229 Tennessee Volunteers +4 Tennessee Volunteers vs Texas Longhorns @ 48% EVENT PROPHETX Las Vegas Raiders @ New Orleans Saints WHALE MANIFOLD αΉ€5,000 NO Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by the end of 2030? @ 66% WHALE MANIFOLD αΉ€2,000 YES Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin? @ 96% WHALE MANIFOLD αΉ€3,000 YES Is attention all you need? (transformers SOTA in 2027) @ 96% WHALE MANIFOLD αΉ€5,567 YES @ 92% WHALE MANIFOLD αΉ€10,000 NO Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030? @ 5% WHALE MANIFOLD αΉ€2,662 NO In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt? @ 34% JACKPOT POLY Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch? WHALE MANIFOLD αΉ€116,561 NO All Millennium Prize Problems solved before EOY? @ 4% WHALE MANIFOLD αΉ€10,000 NO @ 2%
#Sports $59,377,120 Blanch vs Andrade #Crypto $6,267,771 What price will Bitcoin hit in September? #Politics $7,176,422 Brazil Presidential Election #Economy $2,353,380 Fed Decision in October? #Football $302,492 Pro Football: 2027 Champion #Ncaaf $53,210 Indiana Hoosiers vs Northwestern Wildcats #Esports $3,999,157 Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs #Baseball $2,685,707 Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies #Recurring $4,756,832 What price will Bitcoin hit in September? #Bitcoin $2,545,622 What price will Bitcoin hit in September? #Tennis $1,051,308 San Diego 2: Darwin Blanch vs Andres Andrade #Elections $10,630,213 2028 Democratic presidential nominee #Soccer $1,584,077 UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion #Ethereum $758,344 What price will Ethereum hit in September? #Commodities $682,654 What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026? #Basketball $521,549 Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sun #Business $280,144 How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? #Uefa Nations League $357,397 TΓΌrkiye vs. France #Solana $91,921 What price will Solana hit in September? #Economics $1,440,170 Fed decision in Oct 2026? #Hockey $109,354 Split Squad: Maple Leafs (A) vs. Senators (H) #Mentions $582,092 What will Trump say during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? #Africa Cup Of Nations $32,093 Libya vs Botswana #Primera Nacional $3,362 Deportivo Madryn vs. CA Central Norte Salta - More Markets #Financials $237,611 How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026? #Props $11,934 Eredivisie: Teams relegated (2026-27) #Liga Mx $9,916 Atlante FC vs. CF Monterrey #Military $433,363 US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? #Wnba $419,160 Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sun #Canadian Premier League $507 Vancouver FC vs. Forge FC Hamilton #Earnings $3,762 Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings? #Social $495 Myspace relaunched in 2026? #Parlays $20,382 Fed decisions (Sep–Dec) #Health $7,096 Pandemic in 2026? #Gaming $7,676 # of views of MrBeast Gaming video week 1? #Golf $4,034 DP World Tour: Open de France Winner
PodComet ET&

Blog

Newsletters and posts from the EventTracker desk β€” what actually happened across the prediction markets we track, measured from our own data. Newest first. Free to read.

  1. Newsletter October 2026 Issue 02 Β· October 2026 Β· The Uncertainty Tax What it actually costs to hold a one dollar contract on the venues we track. Most charge along the same curve, taking the most when the outcome is least certain, and they disagree completely about who pays: on every trade, only when you win, or not at all. Tal Ayalon
  2. Newsletter September 2026 Issue 01 Β· July & August 2026 β€” The World Cup Hangover The first EventTracker newsletter, covering July and August 2026 across the venues we track: the World Cup hangover (daily volume fell 57% after the final), an August that cooled 34% while Kalshi grew 45%, and the new capacity that arrived while the market cooled. Rebecca Michaeli