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EVENT POLY Burgos CF vs. Albacete Balompié - Exact Score $21,282 EVENT KALSHI 2030 U.S. Senate winner? EVENT MANIFOLD Daily Coinflip Ṁ838 EVENT SX Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets WHALE POLY $40,227 SELL Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? @ 98% EVENT LIMITLESS ETH Up or Down Hourly EVENT MYRIAD CS2 knife index next move: Pump to $220 or Dump to $110? $58 JACKPOT POLY GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? EVENT PREDICTIT Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact go into effect by July 2028? $71 WHALE MANIFOLD Ṁ4,595 NO How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 elections? @ 1% EVENT OPINION What price will Bitcoin hit on November 9? $113 EVENT PROPHETX Ugo Blanchet at Buvaysar Gadamauri EVENT NOVIG French Open Winner 2027 EVENT POLY Getafe CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid - Exact Score $18,596 WHALE POLY $3,748 BUY Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? @ 81% EVENT KALSHI 2030 U.S. House winner? EVENT MANIFOLD Will bitcoin rise to 105k before crude oil falls below $80 per barrel? Ṁ528 JACKPOT POLY Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch? EVENT SX Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams WHALE POLY $8,285 SELL Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? @ 92% EVENT LIMITLESS BTC Up or Down Hourly $75 EVENT MYRIAD SOL next move: Pump to $160 or Dump to $40? $78 EVENT PREDICTIT Will Jon Ossoff announce a run for President before 2028? $103 EVENT OPINION What price will Apple (AAPL) hit Week of November 9 2026? $7,562 WHALE SX $1,363 Over 231.0 Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans @ 52% EVENT PROPHETX Adrien Gobat at Benjamin Kittay EVENT NOVIG Stanley Cup Winner JACKPOT POLY Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch? EVENT POLY Olympique de Marseille vs. Le Mans FC - Exact Score $12,622 WHALE SX $4,937 Alex Michelsen Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann @ 75% EVENT KALSHI Texas Senate winner? (2032) EVENT MANIFOLD How many House seats will Democrats win in the 2028 elections? Ṁ514 EVENT SX Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder EVENT LIMITLESS Solana Up or Down Hourly WHALE POLY $2,777 BUY Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? @ 88% EVENT MYRIAD Ethereum next move: Pump to $3K or Dump to $1.5K? $165 EVENT PREDICTIT Will Stephen A. Smith announce a run for president before 2028? JACKPOT POLY GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? EVENT OPINION Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 9 above …? $20,885 WHALE SX $509 Under 132.5 Seton Hall Pirates vs Charlotte 49ers @ 52% EVENT PROPHETX Francesco Forti at Massimo Giunta EVENT NOVIG Championship Winner EVENT POLY What price will Ethereum hit on November 9? $39,802 EVENT KALSHI Texas Senate winner? (2030) WHALE POLY $2,147 SELL New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? @ 98% EVENT MANIFOLD How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 elections? Ṁ1,329 EVENT SX L.A. Lakers vs Philadelphia 76ers JACKPOT POLY Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch? EVENT LIMITLESS XRP Up or Down Hourly WHALE POLY $3,448 SELL Trump out as President before 2027? @ 98% EVENT MYRIAD How much Gold will it take to buy one Bitcoin next? $82 EVENT PREDICTIT Will Rubio and Vance both announce a run for President before 2028? $2 EVENT OPINION Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of November 9 above …? $13,008 EVENT PROPHETX Georgii Kravchenko at Johannus Monday WHALE POLY $4,749 SELL Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? @ 97% EVENT NOVIG Championship Winner WHALE MANIFOLD Ṁ2,000 NO Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026? @ 9% JACKPOT POLY Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch? WHALE MANIFOLD Ṁ5,000 NO Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term? @ 1% WHALE MANIFOLD Ṁ10,000 NO Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term? @ 1%
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Post October 15, 2026 Tal Ayalon

Oct. 11th: A Prediction Markets Day to Remember

Sunday, October 11 was the biggest day in EventTracker's records, which run back to April 2026. The venues we follow recorded $5.39 billion in trading that day, and our board carried 49,688 live markets. Both numbers are the highest we have ever measured. It was an NFL Sunday, the day the National League Championship Series opened, and the morning after a college football Saturday that put Texas against Oklahoma and Georgia at Alabama. Saturday and Sunday together came to $10.35 billion.

Daily trading volume across every venue EventTracker follows, April 29 to October 14, 2026, peaking at $5.39 billion on October 11

Most of that money went through one exchange. Kalshi alone reported $3.96 billion, nearly three dollars in every four. Polymarket US added $699 million, followed by Novig, Nadex and Polymarket. What people traded tells the rest of the story: on Kalshi, $2.75 billion of the day, about 69 percent, came from combos, single tickets that tie several outcomes together. On Polymarket US the share was about 60 percent. This is what an NFL Sunday looks like now: you build a parlay, and an exchange prices it. One note on the numbers: like the exchanges themselves, we count volume at each contract's face value, the dollar it pays if it wins, not at the price people paid for it.

October 11 did not come out of nowhere. Since football returned in September, the daily record has fallen eight times, and the last four were consecutive Sundays: $4.05 billion on September 20, $4.38 billion on September 27, $5.00 billion on October 4 and $5.39 billion on October 11. Beneath the weekly spikes, the floor keeps rising too. Kalshi's typical day in May was about $565 million; so far in October it is about $2.47 billion. Prediction markets spent the summer proving they could carry a World Cup. This fall they are carrying a full sports calendar every week.

Markets EventTracker tracked each day, April 29 to October 14, 2026, peaking at 49,688 on October 11

The other record is about breadth. On October 11 our board carried 49,688 markets across 28 venues, and 25 of those venues traded that day. Since late April we have seen 810,229 distinct markets come and go. Some of that growth is the market and some of it is us: we keep adding venues and reading deeper into each one, and we tell you so rather than calling it growth. Where a venue publishes official daily figures, as Kalshi, Polymarket US and Nadex do, we use them. Everywhere else we count only the events on our board, and we label that number for what it is, a floor.

If you are new here, this is what EventTracker is: one board for the whole prediction-market world. Federally regulated exchanges such as Kalshi, Polymarket US and Nadex sit side by side with crypto-native venues such as Polymarket, Limitless, Outcome.xyz and Pascal, and with sports exchanges such as Novig and ProphetX. In one place you can see the same question priced on several venues at once, what it costs to trade it at each one, where the big wallets are moving, and the news that moves the price, without keeping a dozen tabs open.

What makes EventTracker different is what it refuses to be. We take no bets, we hold no money, we carry no affiliate links, and no venue pays to be shown. That is rarer than it sounds: several of the sites that rank prediction markets earn a commission from the venues they send you to. Our job is to measure the whole market honestly and show it to you, including the parts that flatter nobody, us included. October 11 was a day to remember, and we will measure the next record the same way.

Tal Ayalon eventtracker.ai

Figures are EventTracker's own measurements for April 29 to October 14, 2026, pulled October 15. EventTracker is an independent data aggregator. We take no wagers, we hold no funds, and no venue pays us for coverage or placement. Nothing here is investment or wagering advice.

EventTracker is display-only: we show the markets, we never take a bet. More issues and posts →